Monday, April 7, 2014

Thursday, March 27, 2014 Real Estate Forecast -


Thursday, March 27, 2014 Real Estate Forecast - 'short-term stabilizers' Real Estate Outlook -' kancor ingredients limited short-term stabilizers' government policy 'double-edged sword "referred to as the real estate kancor ingredients limited market this year and next year to cool the overheating is expected to spend time . The leadership of the Chinese government in the past 30 years China's economy has been operating premium. However, a significant portion of the Chinese government's control of the damaged part if he is right 'shadow banking (Shadow-banking)' and 'real estate (real estate)' is. However, one feeding the housing market in China will not experience a sudden price drop. China is still "second gwasuyo 'and' income growth 'because kancor ingredients limited it's two remaining axes. Yet the Chinese real estate bubble demographic crisis, urban growth phase, reaching peak earnings did not grow. Share of global GDP, a household loans to South Korea 91.1%, China 30.1%, U.S. 83.7%, kancor ingredients limited and half of the major national average kancor ingredients limited of 66% against a mere income and mortgage loans is a major national average of 31.4% significantly short of the 16.0 % to be stopped. Note that since 2006, China Real Estate LTV ratio is about 26.6% of the cumulative minutes only. Not greater leverage is not a bubble, it is the defense of local experts. Figure. Household debt to GDP ratio compared to the global Note: Based on 2012, China in 2011 Source: CEIC Figure. Mortgage kancor ingredients limited loans against income Note: Based on 2012, Germany in 2011 Source: European Mortgage Federation, CEIC China Real Estate, kancor ingredients limited 2016 is an important turning point upward cycle to keep pace with China's income growth rate of housing prices to a three-year cycle of rising 2016 has been seen on the real estate market cycle is likely to be an important bungitjeom increased. This income demographic changes, and can be explained by these two. First, the demographics of the economically active population that has already passed the peak point and lagging indicators in the housing adjustment kancor ingredients limited geotinde population is likely to decrease the higher the greater the impact will feed 2.3.4. The second is the income. Income growth in China since 1999 through a steep rise in real estate prices have been justified. 1999 the end of July 2013 compared to the 3.75-fold increase kancor ingredients limited in income levels rise in real estate prices across the country not only to exceed 2.94 times, 3.88 times the growth in housing prices in Beijing approaching. However, 10% to 15% annual earnings growth rate reached in 2015 the level of 5-7% is expected to be slow, which is a bubble in China's local acts will be increasingly burdensome. Figure. China Population and housing price index of economic activity forecasts


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